Predicted 0.08% boost from UK-Asia trade deal could be overestimate

The Independent

Jon Stone Policy Correspondent

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-asia-trade-deal-cptpp-b2313359.html

Outside paywall.

Seems this 0.08% meagre benefit from the latest Mega Trade Deal may be unlikely to be achieved.

Well there’s a surprise!

Sarah Green, the Liberal Democrat spokesperson for trade, said: “No matter which way you look at it, the official forecast says that the economic benefit from this deal will be small.”

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Brexit trade treaty ‘could be terminated’ if UK quits ECHR over small boat crossings

Lisa O’Carroll, Brexit correspondent

The Guardian

8th March 2023

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/mar/08/eu-could-terminate-police-and-security-agreement-if-uk-quits-echr

The UK’s trade agreement with the EU could be immediately terminated if the British government quits the European convention on human rights (EHCR)

Steve Peers, a professor of EU and human rights law says “If the UK left the ECHR or denounces all or part of it, it is fairly clear that the EU would suspend the police and security agreement”.

Any attempt at restricting the rights of refugees and asylum seekers would allow the EU to impose an immediate suspension of the UK EU 2020 Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA). The EU has the right to take retaliatory action including the ending of the agreements on extradition and access to the database of biometric data.

Why are UK supermarkets facing fresh food shortages?The GuardianJoanna Partridge and Sarah ButlerWed 22 Feb 2023 14.34 GMT

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/feb/22/problem-shortage-fresh-food-uk-supermarkets

Three big retailers are placing limits on shoppers on some produce lines. What is behind the rationing?
Aldi joins rivals Asda and Morrisons in rationing salad ingredients

The article makes the point that we seem to be suffering more than the EU. Although Brexit might not be the main cause of the shortages, it is a contributing factor.

Some importers argue the additional costs and bureaucracy created by Brexit have put the UK at the back of queue for supplies from European producers when crops are in short supply across the continent.

BrexitRevealed: secret cross-party summit held to confront failings of Brexit.


Toby Helm
, Observer Political Editor

Sat 11 Feb 2023 17.30 GMT

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/feb/11/revealed-secret-cross-party-summit-held-to-confront-failings-of-brexit

Last week on Thursday and Friday, Tory and Labour leavers and remainers, held a secret meeting to address the failings of Brexit and how to remedy them.

They were joined by diplomats, defence experts and the heads of some of the biggest businesses and banks.

“Brexit could be reversed — here’s howOpinion is shifting but the public are running ahead of the politicians”GIDEON RACHMAN Chief Foreign Affairs Commenter

Financial Times

6th February 2023

https://www.ft.com/content/0d195d46-b348-4325-824f-c33889bb2cc0?fbclid=IwAR1aF6LaSKD5MfrTTKepPACtv7g3vGePwBq7g8DCJoIZYLMFIx2XVKPLjBA

Those that won the civil war ended up losing. King Charles I was executed in 1649. Eleven years later, the English decided they had made a mistake and restored the monarchy. Could a similar reversal happen with Brexit?

This articles looks at reversing Brexit. It claims that the five main political groupings in the EU Parliament would all favour British re-entry.

Brexit Is Costing the UK £100 Billion a Year in Lost Output

By

Andrew Atkinson

January 31, 2023, 1:00 AM UTC

Bloomberg Economics

Outside the Paywall

https://archive.ph/2023.01.31-140913/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-31/brexit-is-costing-the-uk-100-billion-a-year-in-lost-output

An analysis by Bloomberg Economics finds three years after Britain left the European Union, Brexit is costing the UK economy £100 billion a year ($124 billion), with the effects spanning everything from business investment to the ability of companies to hire workers.

My 32nd letter to James Sunderland MP for Bracknell and his reply

18th January 2023

I’ve had a reply from James Sunderland MP for Bracknell to my 32nd letter to him.

Dear Mr Enga,

Thank you for taking the time to contact me.

I am sympathetic to your views in retaining the best bits of EU Legislation. The Government has already provided public assurance that they will keep those laws which protect individuals and their safety. You are right that these key laws should be kept to an equivalent bar or higher. I will of course scrutinise accordingly once they have released the detail of the Bill.

I want to assure you that this is an exciting opportunity for the UK in that it allows us to define what we want to be in the post-Brexit world. There is no suggestion of watering down the safeguards we already have and I would be unlikely as an entirely pragmatic and balanced MP to support that anyway. As PPS to the Home Secretary I will be unable to sign any amendments to the Bill but this will not preclude me from making sure that no key civil rights or liberties will be encroached upon and that the Bill will deliver for Bracknell.

I will, of course, continue to monitor the situation and act accordingly.

Thank you once again for taking the time to contact me.

Yours sincerely,

p.p., Adam Bell
James Sunderland MP
Member of Parliament for the Bracknell Constituency
Bracknell, Crowthorne, Finchampstead, Sandhurst and Wokingham

My letter

Tuesday 17 January 2023

Dear James Sunderland,

I am writing about my concerns about the Retained EU Law Bill, that I see as dismantling regulations and standards protecting our environment, food quality and workers’ rights.

I want the Government to:-

• Provide a legally binding guarantee that they won’t slash our standards or drop EU laws which positively builds on our established regulations and standards;

• Commit to retaining or improving key legislation on wildlife protection, animal welfare, employment rights, environmental protections, food standards;

• Engage openly and transparently with third-sector organisations that are raising concerns about the implications of divergence in these areas, and;

• Remove clauses that allow Ministers to change the law without adequate democratic and parliamentary scrutiny;

This bill threatens up to 4,000 pieces of legislation. It has been described as “Reckless”. The government’s independent regulation watchdog, the regulatory policy committee (RPC), has looked at the impact assessment for the plans and described it as “not fit for purpose”.

I have yet to see why I would need this Bill, why I would want those retained EU laws removed or anything to explain why the replacement or lack of replacement, actually benefits me or anyone else.

I strongly ask you to vote against this Bill and explain why and how you think you know what you’re voting for, instead of what you’re voting against.

Yours sincerely,

Terry Enga

The impact of Brexit, in chartsHow has leaving the EU affected Britain?

The Economist 3rd January 2023

Outside the Paywall

https://archive.ph/2023.01.03-185051/https://www.economist.com/britain/2023/01/03/the-impact-of-brexit-in-charts

John Springford, Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, tries to isolate the effect of Brexit by constructing a phantom country that tracked Britain’s performance before 2016’s referendum result.

He estimates that by the second quarter of 2022, Brexit had hit GDP by as much as 6% relative to this counterfactual. Using the same method, he reckons that Brexit dragged down investment by 11%.